Using AMS Analytics to Predict Session Attendance

Using AMS Analytics to Predict Session Attendance

The art of using abstract management systems is knowing what your audiences want. An even more complicated and yet entirely possible task is to determine how many attendees will show up for your event. Yes, the figure is approximate but not speculative. It helps you prepare for your event.

An underlying fear that keeps many event professionals up at night is: Will people actually show up to the sessions that I have carefully planned?

What if no one shows up? Deep down, your rational mind knows that this is virtually impossible: to not have even a single attendee walk through the door. However, it is impossible to predict your attendance figures should you want to sustain your event and organizations in the long run. You want to know how many attendees faithfully show up to each of your events. You want to understand the newcomers and what drove them to attend. And importantly, you must see why certain previous attendees have discontinued coming to your events.

Well, predicting attendance for your next event is possible. And no, it is not magic. It is data analytics.

Understanding What Your Data Analytics Is Actually Telling You

Most conference organizers collect abstract submissions and then stop looking at the numbers until it’s time to schedule sessions. In the process, they miss the bigger picture entirely. Your abstract management system holds patterns that reveal what your audience genuinely cares about.

Start by examining submission volumes across different topics. If you received fifty abstracts about artificial intelligence applications but only five about traditional methodologies, then your attendees are signaling their interests before you’ve even opened registration for your event. This isn’t speculation or guesswork. It’s your audience telling you exactly what they want to learn about.

The quality of submissions matters just as much as quantity. Papers that receive high peer review scores typically generate more interest from attendees who want to hear about genuinely novel research. Track which topics consistently attract the strongest submissions year after year. These patterns often predict which sessions will draw the largest crowds.

Historical attendance data from previous events provides another layer of prediction. Sessions on emerging technologies or controversial topics tend to attract curious attendees even when submission numbers are moderate. Conservative estimates suggest that sessions addressing current issues can see attendance rates 40% higher than traditional academic presentations covering well-established ground.

Breaking Down Attendee Behavior Patterns Via Data Analytics

Conference attendees do not make random decisions about which sessions to attend. In retrospect, you see from the data that they follow predictable patterns that analytics can help identify. Generally:

    • Morning sessions typically see higher attendance than late afternoon slots.
    • Sessions scheduled immediately after lunch breaks often struggle because attendees are networking or checking emails.

These are not any secrets, but many organizers simply continue scheduling the sessions at times when attendance naturally tends to dip.

It also helps to look at registration data alongside abstract topics. When attendees register, they often indicate their professional roles and areas of interest. Cross-reference this information with your session topics. If more than half of your registered attendees listed themselves as healthcare professionals, but you have only one session addressing healthcare applications, then you’re setting yourself up for an overcrowded room and disappointed participants.

Tapping Into Reviewer Engagement Analytics

Here’s something most organizers overlook completely: the behavior of your peer reviewers can predict attendee interest better than almost any other metric. 

Peer reviewers are typically experts in their fields who volunteer their time because they care about advancing knowledge in specific areas. When reviewers spend extra time on certain abstracts or request additional information from authors, they’re signaling that the work is genuinely interesting.

    • Track which abstracts generate the most reviewer comments and questions. These papers often become the most talked-about presentations at your event. A submission that receives minimal reviewer feedback might still be academically sound, but it probably won’t generate the kind of buzz that fills seats.
    • Reviewer scores provide another prediction tool. High-scoring abstracts indicate quality research. They suggest content that experts find compelling enough to recommend to their colleagues. Create a threshold score above which you can reasonably expect strong attendance. Use this benchmark when scheduling sessions in larger versus smaller rooms.

Making Scheduling Decisions Based on Analytics’ Predictions

Armed with attendance predictions, you can now make scheduling decisions that maximize the value of your event.

    • Place your highest-predicted-attendance sessions in your largest rooms during peak times: This sounds obvious, but you’d be surprised how many conferences schedule sessions based on speaker availability alone without considering likely audience size.
    • Create backup plans for sessions that might exceed room capacity: Have overflow rooms ready with live streaming capabilities. Better yet, identify these high-demand sessions early and schedule them in auditoriums from the start. Your attendees will appreciate not having to fight for seats and your speakers will perform better when they can see engaged faces instead of standing-room-only chaos.
    • Consider pairing complementary sessions in adjacent time slots: If your data suggests that machine learning applications and data privacy concerns both appeal to similar attendees, then don’t schedule them simultaneously. Attendees forced to choose between two appealing options often feel frustrated, regardless of which session they select. Space them apart and you’ll see better attendance at both.

Testing Your Analytics’ Predictions in Real Time

Conference apps and digital platforms let you track actual attendance against your predictions. Monitor session check-ins and compare them with your forecasted numbers. When predictions miss the mark significantly, take note of why.

Did a last-minute speaker cancellation change the appeal? 

Did weather or transportation issues affect certain time slots more than others?

This real-time feedback helps you make adjustments during the event. If a session is clearly heading toward overflow capacity, you can announce room changes through your mobile event app before attendees show up to find closed doors.

If another session is underattended, you might use digital channels to highlight unique aspects of the content that weren’t obvious from the abstract alone. Then save this comparative data for future events. Your prediction models will improve dramatically once you understand which factors in your abstract management system correlate most strongly with actual attendance. Some conferences find that author reputation matters more than topic. Others discover that session format influences attendance more than content. Your specific audience will have its own patterns.

Building Better Events Through Smarter Analysis

To use data analytics to understand your event today is a necessity. Conferences and events are no longer going with the flow. Event professionals have long begun to take charge of their management and data analytics is one of the most powerful anchors to do so. As an event manager or conference organizer today, it is important to steer your event toward success and identity in the long run. When you fail to do so, it is easy to get lost in the crowd. Competition is fierce and staying ahead is important.

In 2026, do not host any more hit-or-miss gatherings. Invest into precision-planned experiences using data analytics and allied tools. Start small by tracking just one or two key metrics and comparing them against your event’s actual attendance. Following this, gradually build your way up and you’ll develop intuition for what the numbers are really telling you.

Hosting a successful event or conference demands tools that work just as hard as you do. Dryfta’s online event management platform brings together abstract management and analytics in one comprehensive system that helps you predict attendance and create better experiences for your attendees. Visit Dryfta today to discover how you can take charge of the attendee experience and attendance at your next event.